UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:39 PDT

men Elmira 3
  
Elmira                
W-L: ( 2- 3) PR = 73.2038

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Neumann AEC ( 0- 7, 73.6) 311 A Lycoming Landmark ( 2- 7, 76.1) 13-20 314 H Allegheny PAC ( 3- 5, 78.4) 318 H Cobleskill NAC ( 1- 3, 70.1) 11- 3 321 A Keuka Empire 8 ( 5- 3, 76.0) 12-16 325 A SUNY Poly NAC ( 5- 3, 80.5) 3-17 328 H Hilbert AMCC ( 1- 3, 72.3) 12-10 331 A Pitt-Bradford AMCC ( 7- 3, 74.7) 404 A Delhi NAC ( 2- 5, 79.4) 422 A Alfred State AMCC ( 5- 7, 75.8) 425 A Cairn United East ( 2- 5, 67.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Lycoming               13-20      -7    -3          -1.74
   318 H Cobleskill             11- 3       8     3           1.59
   321 A Keuka                  12-16      -4    -3          -0.85
   325 A SUNY Poly               3-17     -14    -8           0.00
   328 H Hilbert                12-10       2     1           0.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Elmira Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian   Adrian
Albertus Magnus Elmira   Elmira
Albion Albion   Albion
Albright Albright   Albright
Alfred Alfred   Alfred
Alfred State Alfred State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Alfred State
Allegheny Allegheny insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Allegheny
Alma Elmira   Elmira
Alvernia Alvernia   Alvernia
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Anderson (IN)   Anderson (IN)
Anna Maria Elmira   Elmira
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augustana Elmira   Elmira
Aurora Aurora   Aurora
Averett Elmira   Elmira
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace   Baldwin Wallace
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Beloit   Beloit
Benedictine (IL) Benedictine (IL)   Benedictine (IL)
Berry Berry   Berry
Bethany Elmira   Elmira
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Elmira   Elmira
Bridgewater Bridgewater   Bridgewater
Brockport Brockport   Brockport
Bryn Athyn Bryn Athyn   Bryn Athyn
Cairn Elmira   Elmira
Calvin Calvin   Calvin
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Capital Capital   Capital
Carroll Carroll   Carroll
Carthage Carthage   Carthage
Castleton Castleton   Castleton
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Centenary (LA) Centenary (LA)   Centenary (LA)
Centenary (NJ) Elmira   Elmira
Centre Centre   Centre
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Clark Clark   Clark
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Cobleskill Elmira Elmira  
Colby Colby   Colby
Colorado College Colorado College   Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Concordia-Wisconsin   Concordia-Wisconsin
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Cornell College   Cornell College
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Curry   Curry
Dean College Dean College   Dean College
Delaware Valley Elmira   Elmira
Delhi Delhi   Delhi
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw   DePauw
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Drew insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Drew
Dubuque Dubuque   Dubuque
Earlham Elmira   Elmira
Eastern Eastern   Eastern
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   Eastern Connecticut
Edgewood Edgewood   Edgewood
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Elmhurst   Elmhurst
Emerson Emerson   Emerson
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   Emmanuel (MA)
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham FDU-Florham   FDU-Florham
Franciscan Franciscan   Franciscan
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Gordon   Gordon
Goucher Goucher   Goucher
Greensboro Greensboro   Greensboro
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Elmira   Elmira
Gwynedd Mercy Gwynedd Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gwynedd Mercy
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hampden-Sydney Hampden-Sydney   Hampden-Sydney
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Hartwick   Hartwick
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Heidelberg Heidelberg   Heidelberg
Hendrix Hendrix   Hendrix
Hilbert Elmira Elmira  
Hiram Elmira   Elmira
Hood Hood   Hood
Hope Hope   Hope
Huntingdon Huntingdon   Huntingdon
Husson Husson   Husson
Illinois Tech Illinois Tech   Illinois Tech
Illinois Wesleyan Illinois Wesleyan   Illinois Wesleyan
Immaculata Immaculata   Immaculata
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales   Johnson & Wales
Juniata Juniata   Juniata
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo   Kalamazoo
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon   Kenyon
Keuka Keuka Keuka  
Kings Kings insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kings
La Roche Elmira   Elmira
LaGrange Elmira   Elmira
Lake Forest Lake Forest   Lake Forest
Lasell Lasell   Lasell
Lawrence Lawrence   Lawrence
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   Lebanon Valley
Lycoming Lycoming Lycoming  
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Maine Maritime   Maine Maritime
Manhattanville Manhattanville   Manhattanville
Marian (WI) Elmira   Elmira
Marietta Marietta   Marietta
Maritime Maritime   Maritime
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount   Marymount
Marywood Marywood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Massachusetts Maritime   Massachusetts Maritime
Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston   Massachusetts-Boston
McDaniel McDaniel   McDaniel
MCLA MCLA   MCLA
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Methodist   Methodist
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian   Moravian
Morrisville Morrisville Morrisville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount St Mary (NY) Mount St Mary (NY) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount St Mary (NY)
Mount St Vincent Mount St Vincent   Mount St Vincent
Mount Union Mount Union   Mount Union
MSOE MSOE   MSOE
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Muskingum   Muskingum
Nazareth Nazareth   Nazareth
Neumann Neumann   Neumann
New England College Elmira   Elmira
New Paltz New Paltz   New Paltz
Nichols Nichols   Nichols
North Central North Central   North Central
Northland Northland   Northland
Norwich Norwich   Norwich
Oberlin Oberlin   Oberlin
Oglethorpe Elmira   Elmira
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern   Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oswego
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Penn College Penn College   Penn College
Pfeiffer Pfeiffer   Pfeiffer
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Pitt-Bradford Pitt-Bradford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pitt-Bradford
Plattsburgh Plattsburgh   Plattsburgh
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Potsdam Potsdam insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Potsdam
Purchase Elmira insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Elmira
Randolph Elmira   Elmira
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Regis (MA) Regis (MA)   Regis (MA)
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Rivier   Rivier
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rosemont Rosemont   Rosemont
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Sage   Sage
Salem State Salem State   Salem State
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee   Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Southern Maine Southern Maine   Southern Maine
Southern Virginia Southern Virginia   Southern Virginia
Southwestern Southwestern   Southwestern
Spalding Elmira   Elmira
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) St Joseph (CT)   St Joseph (CT)
St Josephs (LI) St Josephs (LI) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Josephs (LI)
St Josephs (ME) St Josephs (ME)   St Josephs (ME)
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent St Vincent   St Vincent
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
SUNY Poly SUNY Poly SUNY Poly  
Susquehanna Susquehanna insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Thiel Elmira insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Elmira
Thomas Thomas   Thomas
Transylvania Transylvania   Transylvania
Trine Trine   Trine
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U of New England U of New England   U of New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus   Ursinus
Utica Utica   Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan   Virginia Wesleyan
Wabash Wabash   Wabash
Warren Wilson Elmira   Elmira
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson   Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wentworth Wentworth   Wentworth
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westminster (PA) Westminster (PA)   Westminster (PA)
Wheaton Wheaton   Wheaton
Widener Widener   Widener
Wilkes Wilkes   Wilkes
William Peace William Peace   William Peace
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilmington (OH) Wilmington (OH)   Wilmington (OH)
Wittenberg Wittenberg   Wittenberg
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
York York   York

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lycoming        ( 2- 7, 76.1)    13-20      -23.76      15.48       0.33         1.78           -41.63
   0 H Cobleskill      ( 1- 3, 70.1)    11- 3      -29.78       9.47      -0.33         1.78            16.24
   0 A Keuka           ( 5- 3, 76.0)    12-16      -23.88      15.37       0.33         1.78           -41.83
   0 A SUNY Poly       ( 5- 3, 80.5)     3-17      -19.44      19.81       0.33         1.78           -33.94
   0 H Hilbert         ( 1- 3, 72.3)    12-10      -27.64      11.61      -0.33         1.78            20.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -81.13

winning pts = 36.2658 losing points = -117.3959

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------